The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–13 on winners spread MAE 9.9 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State +7.5 150.6 75% 67–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +0.8 144.6 53% 50–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +3.8 130.6 63% 57–55 ✗
Purdue @ Michigan -2.7 150.1 40% 68–86 ✗
East Carolina @ UAB +3.7 159.5 63% 77–94 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +1.6 136.1 56% 55–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +10.9 138.5 84% 51–69 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +1.9 157.1 57% 86–80 ✗
Clemson @ Louisville -0.6 143.5 48% 73–76 ✗
UConn @ Creighton -2.3 146.3 42% 62–71 ✗
Boise State @ New Mexico -0.0 151.2 50% 72–69 ✓
Kentucky @ Alabama +3.5 183.3 62% 70–99 ✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +5.3 146.7 69% 66–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +10.8 161.6 84% 78–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State -1.7 152.6 44% 72–83 ✗
Maine @ Bryant +6.5 146.3 72% 59–79 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +9.9 147.5 82% 57–59 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +3.9 139.5 64% 70–65 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +1.4 147.4 55% 77–74 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +1.2 146.7 54% 65–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +11.4 139.8 85% 55–62 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +4.6 160.4 66% 71–87 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +10.0 150.4 82% 77–78 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason -0.4 134.4 49% 64–74 ✗
Michigan @ Maryland +4.8 150.5 67% 81–80 ✗
Alabama @ Florida +2.2 175.2 58% 82–104 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +5.0 140.4 67% 66–56 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State -1.1 142.0 46% 56–69 ✗
Arizona @ Houston +6.6 141.0 73% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +8.3 145.4 77% 66–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +0.3 140.7 51% 63–49 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Akron +4.4 164.3 66% 74–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.