The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–3 on winners spread MAE 8.6 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Harvard @ Kansas +20.6 134.8 97% 54–68 ✓
Wright State @ Miami (OH) -0.7 158.2 47% 88–80 ✓
NJIT @ South Florida +11.5 124.1 85% 73–92 ✓
Louisville @ NC State +28.2 141.4 99% 64–76 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Joseph's +9.4 139.1 80% 66–83 ✓
Marist @ Rider +10.4 127.5 83% 71–77 ✓
Queens University @ Fairleigh Dickinson -4.5 162.0 34% 82–73 ✓
Yale @ Monmouth -23.3 139.0 2% 76–44 ✓
Western Kentucky @ South Carolina -0.9 132.0 47% 58–65 ✗
New Mexico State @ North Carolina A&T -12.7 145.0 12% 85–76 ✓
Charlotte @ UAB +7.2 143.1 74% 68–76 ✓
Morgan State @ Arizona +26.3 164.4 99% 68–93 ✓
Texas Southern @ Wichita State +13.9 127.8 90% 56–65 ✓
North Texas @ UTSA -9.3 125.2 20% 78–54 ✓
Butler @ Creighton +6.3 139.2 72% 56–78 ✓
Illinois @ Missouri -7.9 162.6 24% 71–93 ✗
Weber State @ BYU +10.2 141.6 82% 57–63 ✓
George Washington @ Washington State +9.6 143.5 81% 64–66 ✓
Hartford @ San Francisco +31.8 136.1 100% 53–85 ✓
Kent State @ UTEP -11.8 136.8 14% 47–46 ✓
Portland State @ California Baptist +7.7 144.5 76% 74–72 ✗
Southern Miss @ UNLV +1.7 138.5 56% 63–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Stanford +8.1 127.4 77% 62–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ Hawai'i +5.4 142.9 69% 70–76 ✓
Coppin State @ George Mason +10.8 157.3 84% 53–91 ✓
Iona @ Seattle U -9.2 145.6 20% 83–72 ✓
Bucknell @ Rutgers +19.8 129.8 96% 50–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.