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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 11.1
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
@
Indiana
|
+18.7 | 139.5 | 96% | 55–69 | ✓ |
SMU
@
Utah State
|
+17.3 | 149.4 | 94% | 77–74 | ✗ |
George Washington
@
Pepperdine
|
+3.2 | 156.0 | 61% | 70–81 | ✓ |
Washington State
@
Hawai'i
|
-0.5 | 130.0 | 48% | 51–62 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.