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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–7 on winners spread MAE 8.3 27 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Lafayette @ Lehigh	+4.0	144.9	67%	59–64	✓
Seattle U @ Pacific	+2.2	134.9	60%	54–56	✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State	-4.1	144.1	35%	74–71	✓
Canisius @ Fairfield	+9.2	133.7	85%	55–61	✓
Manhattan @ Iona	+8.9	154.3	85%	57–66	✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly	+1.4	159.7	62%	93–78	✗
Grand Canyon @ Fresno State	-3.0	136.8	43%	68–57	✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga	+16.5	146.5	89%	66–68	✓
Kansas @ Kansas State	-3.2	151.9	33%	86–62	✓
UIC @ Bradley	+4.3	142.9	67%	85–70	✗
Nevada @ New Mexico	+7.0	144.5	80%	73–80	✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland	-14.1	142.4	13%	75–69	✓
California @ Stanford	+4.1	142.7	72%	78–66	✗
Omaha @ Kansas City	-4.0	144.7	30%	77–60	✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona	-6.8	144.9	28%	77–81	✗
Weber State @ Montana State	+5.7	146.8	77%	88–91	✓
Utah Valley @ California Baptist	+0.2	137.4	51%	71–78	✓
Tennessee @ Alabama	+5.5	165.0	65%	79–73	✗
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech	+7.4	147.3	76%	91–102	✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego	-12.8	154.3	14%	85–73	✓
Cincinnati @ Arizona State	+1.4	143.4	58%	68–82	✓
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego	+5.9	144.3	76%	61–59	✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i	+9.0	151.2	82%	68–89	✓
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida	+5.0	159.8	66%	75–89	✓
Oregon @ Washington	+6.0	145.5	71%	57–72	✓
Chicago State @ Mercyhurst	+9.2	128.5	73%	59–61	✓
USC @ Wisconsin	+7.2	158.5	78%	73–71	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.