← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
20–6 on winners
spread MAE 12.2
26 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northwestern
@
Ohio State
|
+5.6 | 142.1 | 74% | 71–81 | ✓ |
Rhode Island
@
Massachusetts
|
+2.1 | 152.3 | 72% | 78–80 | ✓ |
Tulsa
@
Wichita State
|
+3.2 | 135.1 | 69% | 53–72 | ✓ |
La Salle
@
George Mason
|
+0.7 | 133.4 | 53% | 42–75 | ✓ |
Duquesne
@
Dayton
|
+4.7 | 130.6 | 69% | 63–72 | ✓ |
Auburn
@
Georgia
|
+3.7 | 155.2 | 65% | 95–77 | ✗ |
Arkansas
@
LSU
|
+1.0 | 159.6 | 70% | 76–92 | ✓ |
Wofford
@
VMI
|
-0.3 | 143.4 | 50% | 80–78 | ✓ |
Mercer
@
Chattanooga
|
+0.4 | 145.4 | 56% | 80–83 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
Northwestern State
|
-6.4 | 151.1 | 23% | 76–66 | ✓ |
Central Arkansas
@
Stephen F. Austin
|
+3.5 | 150.5 | 74% | 69–95 | ✓ |
Lamar
@
Sam Houston
|
+9.1 | 145.1 | 84% | 71–96 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Incarnate Word
|
+7.6 | 142.4 | 78% | 61–83 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
SE Louisiana
|
+2.4 | 132.0 | 72% | 63–76 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Wake Forest
|
-0.5 | 129.8 | 48% | 77–65 | ✓ |
Texas Tech
@
Texas
|
+2.7 | 139.1 | 57% | 79–77 | ✗ |
New Mexico
@
Utah Tech
|
+4.0 | 137.8 | 51% | 72–63 | ✗ |
Boise State
@
Wyoming
|
-11.8 | 150.4 | 16% | 90–70 | ✓ |
Texas A&M
@
Mississippi State
|
+6.7 | 130.9 | 74% | 56–55 | ✗ |
UCF
@
Temple
|
-0.7 | 135.8 | 49% | 55–62 | ✗ |
California
@
Colorado
|
+15.7 | 135.1 | 90% | 60–89 | ✓ |
Charleston Southern
@
UNC Asheville
|
+10.6 | 142.1 | 86% | 54–92 | ✓ |
Stanford
@
Utah
|
+0.2 | 134.0 | 53% | 65–79 | ✓ |
Washington State
@
UCLA
|
+8.3 | 138.6 | 83% | 61–91 | ✓ |
Santa Clara
@
Pacific
|
+1.3 | 133.0 | 61% | 58–79 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
South Carolina Upstate
|
+2.8 | 139.5 | 55% | 69–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.