Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -125 AMCC +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -0.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.6 (+11.4) | 131.0 (+8.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.4 (+10.6) | 132.0 (+7.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -2.0 (+11.0) | 132.6 (+6.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -1.9 (+11.1) | 132.7 (+6.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-18 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 5-10 | 2-13 |
| Home | 3-4 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#325) | -10.3 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#308) | -2.76 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#320) | -3.56 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#269) | 0.402 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 27.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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