Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -400 NU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -5.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -6.6 (+3.4) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -5.6 (+4.4) | 142.1 (+9.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -6.7 (+3.3) | 145.2 (+6.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.5 (+3.5) | 145.1 (+6.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OSU 86 – 82 NU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NU 70 – 49 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | NU 83 – 58 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2023 | NU 69 – 63 OSU |
| Jan 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 57 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#29) | 9.6 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#27) | 2.07 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#23) | 3.52 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#29) | 0.570 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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