Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -120 TTU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -3.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -4.9 (-6.9) | 140.5 (+15.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -2.7 (-4.7) | 139.1 (+16.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -4.2 (-6.2) | 143.5 (+12.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -4.5 (-6.5) | 142.5 (+13.5) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2024 | TEX 81 – 69 TTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TTU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 14, 2023 | TTU 74 – 67 TEX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | TEX 72 – 70 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TTU 61 – 55 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 9-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 63.2 |
| Massey | 15.7 (#16) | 15.3 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.28 (#4) | 2.30 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.81 (#4) | 3.39 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.692 (#3) | 0.551 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 26.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.