Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Big 12 Conference · Frank Erwin Center · January 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -2.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money TEX -120 / TTU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TTU +2 156 Lost
Massey TEX -3.2 (-5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 135.3 (+20.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -4.9 (-6.9) 140.5 (+15.5) 72% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -2.7 (-4.7) 139.1 (+16.9) 57% ✗
Baseline Plus ML TEX -4.2 (-6.2) 143.5 (+12.5) 62% ✗
Baseline ML TEX -4.5 (-6.5) 142.5 (+13.5) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2024 TEX 81 – 69 TTU
Jan 7, 2024 TTU 78 – 67 TEX
Feb 14, 2023 TTU 74 – 67 TEX
Jan 15, 2023 TEX 72 – 70 TTU
Feb 19, 2022 TTU 61 – 55 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX TTU
Overall 19-8 18-11
Conference 11-6 9-8
Home 8-5 11-4
Away 6-2 5-4
Neutral 5-1 2-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.8 72.5
Avg Pts Against 65.8 63.2
Massey 15.7 (#16) 15.3 (#18)
Bradley-Terry 4.28 (#4) 2.30 (#38)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.81 (#4) 3.39 (#36)
RPI 0.692 (#3) 0.551 (#96)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX TTU
FG% 45.0% 44.7%
3PT% 33.1% 33.1%
REB / G 40.7 36.1
OREB / G 11.6 12.3
AST / TO 0.95 1.23
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 50.0%
TOV% 18.9% 16.3%
ORB% 32.6% 35.1%
FT Rate 24.7% 32.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.4% 44.3%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 26.5%
DRB% 72.4% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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