Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +130 AUB -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +18 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -4.8 (-22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -4.9 (-22.9) | 154.4 (+17.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -3.7 (-21.7) | 155.2 (+16.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -3.5 (-21.5) | 155.5 (+16.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -5.1 (-23.1) | 154.0 (+18.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#74) | 5.3 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#96) | 0.83 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#85) | 1.28 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#103) | 0.520 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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