Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -150 TLSA +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +19 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -3.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -2.5 (+16.5) | 137.3 (-12.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.2 (+15.8) | 135.1 (-10.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -3.4 (+15.6) | 138.3 (-13.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -2.7 (+16.3) | 138.7 (-13.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-6 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-2 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#65) | 7.6 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#35) | 2.11 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#37) | 2.49 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#30) | 0.568 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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