Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MASS +150 URI -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +2 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -1.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -1.3 (+0.7) | 156.9 (+1.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -2.1 (-0.1) | 152.3 (+5.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -1.2 (+0.8) | 158.1 (-0.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -1.1 (+0.9) | 157.5 (+0.5) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-7 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 7-10 |
| Home | 4-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#85) | 7.7 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#150) | 1.19 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#100) | 2.01 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#131) | 0.559 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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