Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +260 WOF -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -1.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -0.7 (-1.3) | 143.1 (+14.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.3 (-1.7) | 143.4 (+14.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -0.1 (-1.9) | 141.3 (+16.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.7 (-1.3) | 143.7 (+14.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 12-5 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#180) | 3.1 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#225) | 0.87 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#229) | 1.32 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#243) | 0.564 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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