Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -300 LAM +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +25 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -12.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -11.3 (+13.7) | 144.6 (+22.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -9.1 (+15.9) | 145.1 (+21.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -10.6 (+14.4) | 147.7 (+19.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -12.1 (+12.9) | 145.3 (+21.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | SHSU 85 – 72 LAM |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SHSU 90 – 70 LAM |
| Jan 14, 2022 | SHSU 73 – 56 LAM |
| Dec 31, 2021 | SHSU 75 – 64 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2021 | LAM 70 – 69 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 5-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#196) | -11.5 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#92) | -2.03 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#110) | -3.02 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#43) | 0.399 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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