Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH +110 STAN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -1.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -2.0 (+16.0) | 135.7 (+8.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -0.2 (+13.8) | 134.0 (+10.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -0.1 (+14.1) | 136.5 (+7.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -0.7 (+14.7) | 135.0 (+9.0) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STAN 79 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | STAN 73 – 62 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STAN 78 – 72 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UTAH 71 – 66 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#91) | 10.7 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#169) | 2.18 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#152) | 3.17 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#199) | 0.626 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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