I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
UCLA Bruins
91 – 61
FINAL Conference
Washington State Cougars
Pac-12 Conference · Pauley Pavilion · January 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -8.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money UCLA -400 / WSU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +30 152 Won
Massey UCLA -10.1 (+19.9) — —
Massey Totals — 134.4 (+17.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -9.4 (+20.6) 138.8 (+13.2) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCLA -8.3 (+21.7) 138.6 (+13.4) 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -11.0 (+19.0) 138.9 (+13.1) 84% ✓
Baseline ML UCLA -8.9 (+21.1) 139.2 (+12.8) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2024 WSU 77 – 65 UCLA
Feb 5, 2023 UCLA 76 – 52 WSU
Dec 31, 2022 UCLA 67 – 66 WSU
Mar 11, 2022 UCLA 75 – 65 WSU
Feb 18, 2022 UCLA 76 – 56 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA WSU
Overall 22-10 14-13
Conference 13-6 7-12
Home 11-1 11-5
Away 5-6 3-6
Neutral 6-3 0-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 73.4 68.6
Avg Pts Against 68.4 67.4
Massey 10.6 (#44) 3.2 (#118)
Bradley-Terry 2.77 (#24) 1.28 (#81)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.57 (#29) 1.72 (#87)
RPI 0.625 (#22) 0.505 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA WSU
FG% 46.4% 40.3%
3PT% 36.6% 33.1%
REB / G 37.6 42.5
OREB / G 11.0 11.4
AST / TO 1.30 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 46.9%
TOV% 16.7% 20.6%
ORB% 32.7% 29.7%
FT Rate 28.8% 28.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 40.1%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 17.8%
DRB% 73.8% 73.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 19.8%

Game Analysis

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