Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Wyoming Cowboys
70 – 90
FINAL Conference
Boise State Broncos
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · January 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -8.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money WYO +350 / BOIS -400
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual BOIS +20 160 Lost
Massey BOIS -14.1 (-5.9) — —
Massey Totals — 156.0 (+4.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 6% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 2% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -11.8 (-8.2) 153.4 (+6.6) 16% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BOIS -11.8 (-8.2) 150.4 (+9.6) 16% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -13.1 (-6.9) 155.3 (+4.7) 14% ✓
Baseline ML BOIS -14.2 (-5.8) 152.5 (+7.5) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 BOIS 72 – 62 WYO
Jan 21, 2026 BOIS 81 – 65 WYO
Jan 15, 2025 BOIS 96 – 55 WYO
Jan 1, 2025 BOIS 67 – 58 WYO
Feb 25, 2024 BOIS 92 – 72 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO BOIS
Overall 14-11 19-9
Conference 7-9 14-6
Home 7-5 11-1
Away 4-5 6-6
Neutral 3-1 2-2
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.6 75.4
Avg Pts Against 75.5 67.4
Massey -3.7 (#227) 13.2 (#25)
Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#155) 3.37 (#12)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.11 (#170) 4.69 (#10)
RPI 0.440 (#249) 0.631 (#15)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO BOIS
FG% 45.7% 47.9%
3PT% 37.5% 36.2%
REB / G 33.9 38.7
OREB / G 8.4 10.8
AST / TO 1.38 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.8% 54.4%
TOV% 14.0% 15.5%
ORB% 23.3% 32.3%
FT Rate 26.6% 24.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 45.3%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 21.0%
DRB% 68.4% 80.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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