Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +150 SCU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -1.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -0.8 (+20.2) | 131.2 (+5.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -1.3 (+19.7) | 133.0 (+4.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -4.2 (+16.8) | 136.1 (+0.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -0.5 (+20.5) | 135.3 (+1.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 6-7 | 4-5 |
| Home | 6-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#157) | 1.8 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#127) | 1.91 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#150) | 1.96 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#68) | 0.601 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 23.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.7% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.