Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +260 NICH -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -7.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.5 (-3.5) | 151.3 (-9.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.4 (-3.6) | 151.1 (-9.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -6.6 (-3.4) | 155.1 (-13.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.9 (-3.1) | 153.0 (-11.0) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 14-2 |
| Home | 6-4 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#316) | -1.2 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.13 (#340) | -0.30 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.65 (#344) | -0.59 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#304) | 0.487 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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