If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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3–1 on winners spread MAE 10.5 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
SIU Edwardsville @ LSU — — — 81–94 —
Boston College @ Rhode Island — — — 69–64 —
Queens University @ George Mason — — — 65–66 —
Mississippi Valley State @ North Texas — — — 62–116 —
Utah State @ South Dakota State — — — 59–83 —
Purdue @ Clemson — — — 70–81 —
LSU New Orleans @ BYU — — — 61–86 —
Villanova @ Arizona State — — — 83–74 —
Auburn @ Gonzaga — — — 67–90 —
East Tennessee State @ Middle Tennessee — — — 57–43 —
Virginia @ San Francisco — — — 60–61 —
Norfolk State @ James Madison — — — 83–73 —
Toledo @ Xavier +3.9 139.0 74% 73–76 ✓
Ohio @ Illinois +9.7 154.0 84% 75–77 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Florida Atlantic — — — 60–50 —
Evansville @ Prairie View A&M — — — 61–64 —
Western Carolina @ Troy — — — 64–66 —
Western Kentucky @ West Virginia — — — 64–70 —
Saint Joseph's @ Kansas — — — 72–94 —
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech — — — 52–84 —
Army @ Central Connecticut — — — 79–57 —
Eastern Kentucky @ Charleston Southern — — — 60–50 —
Lamar @ Tulane — — — 57–66 —
Rice @ Incarnate Word — — — 68–53 —
Austin Peay @ Abilene Christian — — — 72–80 —
George Mason @ Belmont — — — 67–77 —
South Dakota @ Drake — — — 53–69 —
Boise State @ Houston — — — 58–68 —
Pepperdine @ UCLA — — — 98–107 —
East Carolina @ Charlotte — — — 66–57 —
Navy @ Maryland — — — 52–82 —
Bryant @ Syracuse — — — 84–85 —
Oakland @ Bradley +12.8 131.4 80% 60–74 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ UNC Asheville — — — 76–68 —
North Carolina A&T @ Chicago State +2.1 133.7 55% 74–44 ✗
UC Davis @ Santa Clara — — — 63–66 —
Saint Peter's @ La Salle — — — 62–51 —
Arkansas State @ Marshall — — — 56–70 —
Seton Hall @ Louisville — — — 70–71 —
Utah State @ Northern Iowa — — — 82–71 —
Buffalo @ Towson — — — 74–65 —
Southern @ Iowa — — — 76–103 —
Howard @ Queens University — — — 71–85 —
Grambling @ Arizona — — — 55–74 —
North Florida @ NC State — — — 51–86 —
Morehead State @ Richmond — — — 64–82 —
South Dakota State @ Saint Mary's — — — 59–72 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.