Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +27 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -27.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -20.8 (+6.2) | 150.3 (+28.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -17.4 (+9.6) | 150.1 (+28.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | IOWA 89 – 74 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 8-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#37) | -4.1 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#31) | -1.31 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#30) | -1.93 (#154) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 20.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.22 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 54.1% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 90.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 37.0% |
Game Analysis
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