Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -10000 SOU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +15 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -20.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -13.6 (+1.4) | 147.8 (+15.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -18.0 (-3.0) | 149.4 (+13.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -14.1 (+0.9) | 149.6 (+13.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2020 | IOWA 103 – 76 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#96) | -0.1 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#129) | -0.27 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#103) | -0.36 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#6) | 0.500 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 41.5% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 59.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 31.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 3.2% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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