Charleston Southern
Buccaneers
50
–
60
FINAL
Neutral
Mako Medical Wolfpack Invitational
Eastern Kentucky
Colonels
Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +10 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -9.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-41.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -7.8 (-2.2) | 141.2 (-31.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -7.6 (-2.4) | 143.6 (-33.6) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-18 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 15-5 |
| Home | 1-9 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#136) | 4.3 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#113) | 1.06 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#124) | 1.55 (#22) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 17.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 50.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 24.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 38.4% |
| TOV% | 40.3% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 43.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 28.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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