Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | DRKE -500 SDAK +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +16 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -17.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -11.3 (+4.7) | 143.5 (-21.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -12.7 (+3.3) | 140.7 (-18.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2021 | DRKE 99 – 50 SDAK |
| Dec 18, 2020 | DRKE 75 – 57 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-2 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#11) | -7.7 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#6) | -1.06 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#8) | -1.60 (#150) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 15.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.12 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 35.8% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 11.1% |
| DRB% | 57.1% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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