Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK +230 DRKE -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +18 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -6.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -4.7 (-13.3) | 144.7 (-12.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -7.1 (-10.9) | 141.6 (-9.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.3 (-12.7) | 144.2 (-12.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.3 (-12.7) | 145.6 (-13.6) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2021 | DRKE 99 – 50 SDAK |
| Nov 27, 2020 | DRKE 69 – 53 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-4 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#188) | 9.3 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#277) | 1.91 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#248) | 2.23 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#243) | 0.601 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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