Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | KU -7000 JOES +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +22 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -2.3 (+24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -1.4 (+23.4) | 152.5 (+13.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -1.6 (+23.6) | 155.8 (+10.2) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 5-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 3-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#125) | -1.7 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#144) | -1.06 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#145) | -1.43 (#141) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 44.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 24.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 15.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 69.4% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 55.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 42.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.