Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | FAU -180 JXST +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +10 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -7.3 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -4.4 (-14.4) | 133.3 (-23.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -4.9 (-14.9) | 137.0 (-27.0) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#36) | -1.9 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#116) | -0.39 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#90) | -0.59 (#117) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 27.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 49.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 20.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 34.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 25.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 65.9% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.8% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 59.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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