Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -29.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +32 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -30.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -19.1 (+12.9) | 150.9 (-14.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -26.5 (+5.5) | 149.3 (-13.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | TTU 98 – 77 SHSU |
| Dec 29, 2023 | TTU 96 – 60 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 13-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-1 |
| Away | 5-4 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#18) | -3.9 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#58) | -0.39 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#41) | -0.60 (#122) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.3% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 51.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.20 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.5% | 61.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 82.2% | 55.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 40.7% |
Game Analysis
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