Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–8 on winners spread MAE 6.5 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ Tennessee +7.1 142.4 76% 78–73 ✗
Wake Forest @ Louisville +11.6 139.7 86% 59–72 ✓
Rice @ South Florida +1.8 139.5 61% 64–69 ✓
Providence @ Seton Hall -4.5 136.1 32% 69–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Georgia +9.8 132.9 81% 60–71 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ball State +4.0 147.7 68% 74–71 ✗
Toledo @ Ohio +4.8 159.6 72% 86–83 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Miami (OH) +10.2 153.2 84% 80–89 ✓
Central Michigan @ Buffalo -6.1 141.9 27% 69–75 ✗
Bowling Green @ Kent State +9.7 135.2 86% 57–75 ✓
Akron @ Northern Illinois -13.9 153.2 13% 80–70 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State +4.7 134.7 73% 65–66 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +13.9 143.6 88% 51–73 ✓
UCF @ Kansas +11.9 153.1 87% 87–91 ✓
VCU @ Saint Louis -4.6 135.6 32% 69–78 ✗
Dayton @ St. Bonaventure +0.7 136.7 54% 53–75 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso +0.3 146.8 54% 79–75 ✗
Marquette @ Butler -6.4 146.7 26% 78–69 ✓
Fresno State @ Wyoming +6.5 138.7 77% 72–83 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado -1.5 139.4 43% 70–68 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +7.0 143.3 77% 68–71 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +14.9 135.6 88% 58–79 ✓
Baylor @ BYU +2.3 145.3 61% 89–93 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas A&M +7.0 143.0 77% 68–75 ✓
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh +3.7 155.4 67% 65–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ Utah +1.4 132.8 58% 66–69 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +12.1 132.5 87% 68–71 ✓
Oregon State @ Gonzaga +12.3 158.7 84% 60–98 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate -2.9 151.8 33% 82–75 ✓
Colgate @ Army -2.4 143.0 43% 72–84 ✗
Samford @ Furman +0.1 147.3 51% 70–72 ✓
Radford @ UNC Asheville +2.7 146.0 67% 65–72 ✓
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +5.1 150.9 71% 67–76 ✓
Old Dominion @ App State +10.2 129.0 84% 78–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.