We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–4 on winners spread MAE 9.2 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas @ Tennessee +6.6 146.6 74% 74–79 ✓
Georgetown @ Butler +2.0 138.4 61% 55–63 ✓
VCU @ George Mason -10.6 141.0 17% 66–61 ✓
Georgia @ LSU +11.3 154.1 84% 92–94 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga +3.3 149.8 67% 68–73 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +7.4 139.3 80% 84–75 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +1.1 148.0 50% 75–67 ✗
Wichita State @ Houston +12.8 135.7 87% 63–70 ✓
St. John's @ Xavier +11.5 162.5 84% 61–69 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Houston Christian -13.4 143.7 14% 66–63 ✓
Sam Houston @ SE Louisiana -1.5 142.9 40% 70–52 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Central Arkansas +9.0 145.4 82% 79–83 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +10.5 141.6 85% 69–76 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan +7.9 154.3 77% 57–82 ✓
Boston College @ Duke +5.1 146.5 75% 82–83 ✓
Oklahoma @ Baylor +13.9 157.0 87% 61–76 ✓
Seton Hall @ Creighton +5.9 149.0 72% 53–89 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia +6.3 133.2 76% 61–70 ✓
Texas A&M @ South Carolina +3.3 136.2 66% 54–78 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss +5.2 138.0 69% 61–72 ✓
Utah State @ New Mexico -9.9 136.3 20% 77–45 ✓
Air Force @ Boise State +21.2 135.7 91% 59–78 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Bryant +14.6 160.0 88% 68–93 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis Brooklyn -4.0 138.1 36% 55–70 ✗
Oregon @ Colorado +4.8 140.3 69% 72–79 ✓
Northeastern @ Hofstra +5.0 133.7 74% 81–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.