That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–9 on winners spread MAE 6.7 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ Tennessee +6.7 141.6 70% 78–73 ✗
Wake Forest @ Louisville +10.3 140.5 85% 59–72 ✓
Rice @ South Florida +1.9 139.7 60% 64–69 ✓
Providence @ Seton Hall -4.9 136.8 28% 69–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Georgia +9.1 133.7 80% 60–71 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ball State +4.1 148.8 63% 74–71 ✗
Toledo @ Ohio +4.8 160.7 72% 86–83 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Miami (OH) +10.4 153.5 84% 80–89 ✓
Central Michigan @ Buffalo -6.6 142.5 30% 69–75 ✗
Bowling Green @ Kent State +10.6 135.8 85% 57–75 ✓
Akron @ Northern Illinois -13.6 154.1 12% 80–70 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State +5.2 135.4 70% 65–66 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +13.7 143.5 88% 51–73 ✓
UCF @ Kansas +11.8 151.2 86% 87–91 ✓
VCU @ Saint Louis -5.0 135.1 36% 69–78 ✗
Dayton @ St. Bonaventure +0.5 136.8 50% 53–75 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso +0.1 147.1 52% 79–75 ✗
Marquette @ Butler -5.5 147.8 30% 78–69 ✓
Fresno State @ Wyoming +6.0 138.8 78% 72–83 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado -1.4 139.5 41% 70–68 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +6.8 142.8 79% 68–71 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +15.0 135.2 88% 58–79 ✓
Baylor @ BYU +2.2 144.8 66% 89–93 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas A&M +6.3 142.5 77% 68–75 ✓
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh +4.0 153.9 71% 65–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ Utah +1.4 133.6 61% 66–69 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +13.0 133.1 87% 68–71 ✓
Oregon State @ Gonzaga +11.5 158.3 85% 60–98 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate -2.6 152.4 28% 82–75 ✓
Colgate @ Army -2.0 143.9 38% 72–84 ✗
Samford @ Furman -0.4 147.6 45% 70–72 ✗
Radford @ UNC Asheville +2.1 146.9 66% 65–72 ✓
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +5.4 152.8 72% 67–76 ✓
Old Dominion @ App State +10.9 128.5 84% 78–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.