That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–8 on winners spread MAE 9.9 28 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ Baylor +13.6 141.5 85% 74–84 ✓
Texas @ Kansas State -2.7 124.9 28% 70–57 ✓
Kentucky @ LSU +7.3 136.5 74% 60–65 ✓
Army @ Bucknell +0.4 148.5 52% 96–89 ✗
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +11.2 135.7 87% 70–79 ✓
Colgate @ Lehigh -6.7 144.4 30% 81–85 ✗
Boston University @ Navy +6.5 132.3 74% 71–83 ✓
Florida State @ Wake Forest +4.8 149.5 73% 54–76 ✓
NC State @ Virginia Tech +14.6 144.4 85% 68–63 ✗
Liberty @ Stetson -3.3 135.6 37% 75–59 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Eastern Kentucky +13.2 155.5 82% 79–72 ✗
Toledo @ Central Michigan -12.5 150.5 15% 82–54 ✓
Kent State @ Ball State -2.0 143.9 42% 66–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan -4.8 148.3 27% 85–79 ✓
Texas A&M @ Georgia -6.1 146.2 28% 81–79 ✓
Michigan @ Rutgers -4.3 139.2 34% 67–75 ✗
Illinois @ Minnesota -2.3 146.6 50% 76–53 ✓
Seton Hall @ Butler -6.7 130.9 24% 71–56 ✓
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +1.2 138.8 55% 74–84 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Arkansas +3.9 143.2 63% 75–74 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Duke +18.3 146.4 90% 57–69 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma State -6.9 150.2 22% 74–63 ✓
Providence @ Marquette -1.0 139.9 51% 56–88 ✗
Air Force @ Colorado State +15.2 136.9 87% 59–67 ✓
Tulsa @ Memphis +12.9 145.9 86% 64–67 ✓
Virginia @ Clemson +5.0 131.8 55% 75–65 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida International +10.7 137.4 86% 65–68 ✓
DePaul @ St. John's +0.4 153.9 54% 84–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.