← All models
Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wisconsin
@
Purdue
|
+10.9 | 149.1 | 83% | 74–69 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+1.3 | 131.8 | 51% | 59–66 | ✓ |
UT Rio Grande Valley
@
Sam Houston
|
+2.1 | 146.4 | 63% | 78–86 | ✓ |
Washington
@
Arizona
|
+26.7 | 157.5 | 91% | 79–95 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Southern
|
+0.3 | 137.3 | 59% | 50–63 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-1.6 | 134.0 | 31% | 70–50 | ✓ |
Maryland
@
Iowa
|
+12.1 | 154.9 | 85% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Akron
|
+0.6 | 135.4 | 51% | 69–63 | ✗ |
Auburn
@
South Carolina
|
-8.4 | 141.6 | 18% | 81–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.