I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–12 on winners spread MAE 9.6 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington State @ San Francisco +6.4 142.7 77% 80–85 ✓
Northeastern @ Monmouth +2.1 142.8 66% 68–81 ✓
Stonehill @ Saint Francis -3.8 138.5 42% 61–63 ✗
Vermont @ UAlbany -4.1 138.0 39% 68–75 ✗
Drexel @ Towson +3.3 127.3 65% 58–59 ✓
Iona @ Saint Peter's +1.2 139.3 58% 63–77 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Rider -3.6 139.0 30% 105–85 ✓
Cornell @ Brown -1.3 157.9 49% 89–67 ✓
Columbia @ Yale +11.8 146.7 84% 74–91 ✓
Fairfield @ Siena +4.5 136.7 70% 77–85 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara -3.9 129.1 31% 68–58 ✓
Merrimack @ Marist +8.6 131.5 80% 68–55 ✗
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +10.8 150.7 86% 92–98 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Mercyhurst -2.2 132.5 37% 61–79 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +3.4 144.8 62% 63–64 ✓
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson +0.8 138.1 51% 61–68 ✓
New Hampshire @ Maine +1.3 129.1 61% 65–48 ✗
UMBC @ Binghamton -7.8 138.2 26% 78–60 ✓
Bryant @ NJIT -0.2 135.9 45% 55–79 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +14.5 152.0 87% 72–79 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State -3.6 149.4 39% 75–76 ✗
Long Island University @ Le Moyne -1.1 140.6 39% 77–83 ✗
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -4.8 135.0 27% 69–53 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +2.9 146.5 61% 64–69 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alabama State +1.2 141.3 54% 73–69 ✗
Princeton @ Dartmouth +2.6 144.6 61% 69–71 ✓
Providence @ Marquette -0.2 163.0 58% 104–105 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word +8.8 137.4 85% 80–58 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +0.4 151.6 49% 87–82 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.