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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.6
14 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Haven
@
Chicago State
|
-0.6 | 127.6 | 39% | 62–56 | ✓ |
Loyola Maryland
@
Lehigh
|
+4.0 | 148.0 | 68% | 81–88 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
UT Rio Grande Valley
|
+5.3 | 133.0 | 69% | 65–68 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
Nicholls
|
-3.7 | 139.2 | 36% | 79–62 | ✓ |
Florida A&M
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-10.7 | 139.1 | 14% | 62–48 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Jackson State
|
+1.8 | 149.6 | 57% | 89–94 | ✓ |
Northwestern State
@
Houston Christian
|
+1.3 | 136.4 | 56% | 80–82 | ✓ |
Lamar
@
New Orleans
|
-0.5 | 141.6 | 47% | 76–89 | ✗ |
Montana State
@
Northern Colorado
|
+1.5 | 147.9 | 57% | 73–68 | ✗ |
Montana
@
Northern Arizona
|
-3.7 | 141.4 | 41% | 98–72 | ✓ |
North Carolina A&T
@
Hampton
|
+3.7 | 137.2 | 74% | 61–82 | ✓ |
Toledo
@
Massachusetts
|
+1.6 | 153.4 | 64% | 82–84 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Ohio State
|
+9.6 | 140.3 | 81% | 74–82 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Buffalo
|
-5.8 | 161.2 | 26% | 82–63 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.