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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–7 on winners spread MAE 7.2 26 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Drexel @ UNC Wilmington	+11.7	133.7	86%	53–65	✓
St. John's @ Georgetown	-8.3	152.5	18%	95–83	✓
Oakland @ Youngstown State	+2.0	150.8	55%	85–83	✗
Samford @ VMI	-4.9	147.3	40%	78–58	✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina	+1.1	156.9	49%	82–81	✗
Stetson @ North Alabama	+12.3	138.1	88%	70–67	✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota	+1.5	141.7	60%	61–72	✓
IU Indianapolis @ Northern Kentucky	+11.1	161.7	86%	72–81	✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State	+5.3	144.1	69%	70–76	✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne	+6.5	145.5	79%	72–54	✗
Jacksonville @ Lipscomb	+13.7	145.3	88%	57–76	✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas	+0.5	154.6	57%	83–85	✓
Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois	+7.2	145.8	76%	70–75	✓
Evansville @ Illinois State	+17.0	144.3	90%	47–73	✓
California Baptist @ UT Arlington	-0.1	130.7	43%	51–63	✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro	+1.9	144.9	64%	72–77	✓
Portland State @ Weber State	+2.5	143.1	63%	95–90	✗
Western Illinois @ UT Martin	+14.7	135.8	88%	60–67	✓
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville	+9.7	139.0	80%	55–59	✓
Morehead State @ Lindenwood	+9.4	147.9	81%	64–77	✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis	+4.4	158.4	65%	80–89	✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Bakersfield	-8.2	143.3	23%	81–77	✓
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe	-7.2	152.9	24%	87–73	✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State	+7.6	145.5	79%	69–84	✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana	+5.6	142.1	73%	64–78	✓
Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock	-1.2	140.2	38%	58–77	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.