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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–6 on winners spread MAE 8.3 19 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Bradley @ Belmont	+8.0	152.8	73%	78–88	✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Queens University	+2.9	154.0	72%	89–91	✓
Bellarmine @ West Georgia	+3.1	151.8	67%	85–87	✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa	+10.9	139.2	83%	66–75	✓
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside	-6.3	140.9	33%	88–45	✓
North Florida @ Austin Peay	+12.7	154.9	88%	83–102	✓
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State	-4.7	140.9	34%	91–85	✓
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian	+4.5	137.1	70%	79–64	✗
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State	+9.5	142.8	83%	59–68	✓
Murray State @ UIC	-6.9	157.5	34%	81–77	✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State	+0.9	148.3	61%	75–89	✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State	+11.6	143.5	87%	84–97	✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton	-0.7	155.4	45%	84–95	✗
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly	-8.0	157.9	22%	65–67	✗
New Mexico State @ Florida International	-1.4	149.1	50%	74–89	✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack	+5.9	131.9	70%	65–75	✓
Sacred Heart @ Niagara	-5.1	137.5	26%	61–64	✗
Fairfield @ Canisius	-5.0	133.3	26%	81–85	✗
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky	+0.7	157.9	61%	91–102	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.