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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
26–8 on winners
spread MAE 6.7
34 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+9.0 | 142.6 | 70% | 78–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.2 | 142.7 | 82% | 59–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 139.5 | 65% | 64–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.3 | 134.6 | 36% | 69–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.8 | 132.9 | 83% | 60–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.0 | 148.8 | 56% | 74–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.3 | 159.3 | 72% | 86–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.6 | 152.1 | 86% | 80–89 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.9 | 144.6 | 26% | 69–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.0 | 135.8 | 83% | 57–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-14.9 | 156.4 | 12% | 80–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.7 | 134.5 | 80% | 65–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.3 | 142.4 | 88% | 51–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.8 | 156.7 | 86% | 87–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.9 | 138.8 | 28% | 69–78 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.1 | 134.0 | 54% | 53–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.3 | 146.2 | 44% | 79–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.2 | 147.4 | 22% | 78–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.7 | 141.6 | 78% | 72–83 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.1 | 140.3 | 49% | 70–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.5 | 142.7 | 74% | 68–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.9 | 133.2 | 89% | 58–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 141.3 | 63% | 89–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 143.4 | 81% | 68–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 156.4 | 68% | 65–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.3 | 136.5 | 69% | 66–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.4 | 134.5 | 88% | 68–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.0 | 155.7 | 85% | 60–98 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.7 | 151.2 | 32% | 82–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.3 | 144.6 | 43% | 72–84 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.5 | 146.1 | 48% | 70–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.4 | 144.5 | 69% | 65–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 150.5 | 76% | 67–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.1 | 134.2 | 82% | 78–77 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.