Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–7 on winners spread MAE 10.1 25 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina State @ Delaware State +0.5 132.1 52% 61–59 ✗
Duke @ NC State -8.4 148.1 20% 93–64 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore +2.6 132.6 62% 77–73 ✗
Coppin State @ Howard +16.8 140.8 90% 70–90 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +2.3 164.8 59% 93–101 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word -7.8 139.9 22% 76–68 ✓
Northwestern State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +10.2 135.4 86% 62–74 ✓
McNeese @ Nicholls -8.7 140.6 18% 75–65 ✓
SE Louisiana @ New Orleans +8.5 138.5 80% 82–78 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.5 132.0 80% 71–84 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -6.9 140.9 25% 76–65 ✓
Montana @ Northern Colorado +5.8 150.5 74% 57–85 ✓
Lamar @ Houston Christian -1.4 130.8 42% 53–75 ✗
Iowa State @ Arizona +7.9 146.9 79% 57–73 ✓
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +3.5 150.1 69% 85–81 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State +4.5 146.1 69% 60–84 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +0.6 154.0 52% 65–83 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Maine -0.6 132.1 46% 67–56 ✓
UMBC @ NJIT -4.0 135.4 31% 91–52 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire +2.0 132.6 57% 83–88 ✓
Tennessee @ South Carolina -8.1 140.6 19% 78–59 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana -1.4 130.1 47% 75–84 ✗
Alabama @ Georgia +1.7 180.1 53% 88–98 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo +5.3 144.7 71% 67–72 ✓
Towson @ Stony Brook +1.0 130.3 50% 69–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.