Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -325 ISU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -6.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -7.8 (+8.2) | 150.0 (-20.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -7.9 (+8.1) | 146.9 (-16.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -7.5 (+8.5) | 148.1 (-18.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -8.7 (+7.3) | 148.2 (-18.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | ARIZ 82 – 80 ISU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ISU 84 – 67 ARIZ |
| Jan 28, 2025 | ARIZ 86 – 75 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-3 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 16-1 |
| Away | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 11-1 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 26.3 (#3) | 22.5 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.03 (#1) | 3.56 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.29 (#3) | 4.30 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.671 (#3) | 0.616 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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