Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -160 ISU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +11 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -0.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -3.0 (+8.0) | 149.7 (+11.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -1.5 (+9.5) | 153.7 (+7.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -1.2 (+9.8) | 153.7 (+7.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -1.0 (+10.0) | 154.1 (+6.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | ARIZ 82 – 80 ISU |
| Mar 3, 2026 | ARIZ 73 – 57 ISU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ISU 84 – 67 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#11) | 22.0 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#35) | 4.04 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#34) | 5.06 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#31) | 0.652 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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