I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–9 on winners spread MAE 9.6 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama State @ Cincinnati +20.4 147.3 91% 59–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Marshall +5.5 139.3 67% 53–82 ✓
Colgate @ UNC Wilmington +8.0 139.9 78% 72–59 ✗
Milwaukee @ UCF +8.0 149.7 78% 76–84 ✓
Cornell @ Syracuse +5.5 156.5 71% 72–82 ✓
Rider @ Villanova +9.8 138.2 75% 48–72 ✓
UTEP @ UNC Greensboro -0.7 131.6 52% 64–58 ✓
Utah Valley @ Samford +3.7 158.1 63% 76–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Georgia Tech +9.2 145.2 79% 67–91 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Little Rock +16.5 138.5 89% 59–78 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Saint Louis +5.3 156.4 70% 90–93 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Houston Christian -1.0 134.6 40% 74–71 ✓
Arizona @ Davidson -1.3 154.5 56% 104–71 ✓
Xavier @ Michigan +3.0 144.0 60% 53–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Loyola Marymount +1.1 132.1 56% 70–73 ✓
Stonehill @ Marquette +22.8 139.5 90% 59–94 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Montana -3.1 149.0 35% 75–83 ✗
Michigan State @ North Carolina +5.8 150.8 78% 94–91 ✗
SMU @ Washington State +0.1 155.9 63% 77–60 ✗
Alabama @ Rutgers -6.5 162.2 24% 95–90 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Pacific +15.0 151.8 89% 71–83 ✓
San José State @ Long Beach State -6.3 131.2 28% 82–66 ✓
Mercyhurst @ California +14.2 140.0 87% 55–81 ✓
UConn @ Dayton -1.2 147.2 47% 67–85 ✗
California Baptist @ Fresno State -0.6 146.1 49% 86–81 ✓
Houston @ Notre Dame -7.5 138.6 26% 65–54 ✓
West Virginia @ Louisville +2.1 142.5 59% 70–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Wichita State +7.2 130.9 81% 66–68 ✓
UT Arlington @ Rhode Island +9.6 155.5 86% 78–83 ✓
Gonzaga @ Indiana -7.2 147.2 23% 89–73 ✓
Florida @ Wake Forest -8.3 140.4 20% 75–58 ✓
NC State @ Purdue +4.1 140.6 69% 61–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ North Dakota State -2.8 147.7 36% 63–83 ✗
Illinois @ Arkansas -1.7 142.9 46% 90–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ TCU +4.9 142.2 75% 69–52 ✗
Arizona @ Oklahoma +0.1 148.3 63% 77–82 ✓
BYU @ Ole Miss -0.6 145.0 49% 85–96 ✗
Utah State @ St. Bonaventure -2.8 146.1 41% 72–67 ✓
Washington @ Colorado State +0.1 138.5 52% 73–67 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.