I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
21–10 on winners spread MAE 10.7 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Middle Tennessee @ Abilene Christian — — — 79–56 —
Vermont @ Merrimack — — — 51–65 —
Montana State @ Wichita State +10.5 148.8 83% 69–89 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Ohio +14.4 149.2 89% 76–82 ✓
Florida State @ Rice +1.0 141.9 56% 73–65 ✗
Baylor @ Arkansas +9.7 141.9 84% 72–67 ✗
Northwestern @ Dayton +4.4 140.4 65% 66–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ UConn +21.8 150.2 90% 53–92 ✓
Sam Houston @ Tarleton State -0.9 147.7 55% 91–62 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Grand Canyon +10.6 153.0 81% 72–74 ✓
Youngstown State @ Chicago State — — — 80–60 —
Liberty @ Seattle U +0.6 149.1 48% 66–64 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Nebraska +17.8 144.4 89% 58–63 ✓
Kennesaw State @ California Baptist — — — 84–88 —
Florida International @ Southern Utah — — — 75–80 —
New Mexico State @ Utah Tech — — — 75–63 —
Auburn @ Houston +2.1 142.1 60% 74–69 ✗
Pepperdine @ UC San Diego +5.3 139.0 65% 76–94 ✓
Washington @ Nevada +10.6 148.1 79% 53–63 ✓
Boise State @ San Francisco +1.5 141.8 50% 73–84 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Indiana +19.1 149.3 89% 55–90 ✓
App State @ Wisconsin +20.9 141.4 91% 56–87 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Vanderbilt +22.3 146.7 91% 76–85 ✓
Niagara @ Detroit Mercy +5.9 145.8 75% 78–84 ✓
North Florida @ Georgia Tech +4.7 146.7 58% 105–93 ✗
Michigan @ Wake Forest -5.8 140.8 31% 70–72 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Drake — — — 51–66 —
Saint Francis @ Campbell +9.7 131.7 80% 65–64 ✗
Harvard @ American University +3.7 137.7 62% 55–67 ✓
Maine @ Brown +12.5 142.2 86% 69–67 ✗
Princeton @ Northeastern +14.5 146.6 87% 79–76 ✗
UC Irvine @ Northern Iowa +5.5 138.6 59% 80–60 ✗
Binghamton @ Miami +20.6 154.3 90% 64–88 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Oklahoma State +2.6 149.7 48% 71–80 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UAB — — — 72–82 —
Texas Southern @ Georgia +7.6 144.8 74% 64–92 ✓
Tennessee State @ Wyoming — — — 66–81 —
Arizona State @ Gonzaga +12.7 144.2 80% 80–88 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Creighton +18.5 157.0 88% 70–96 ✓
Alabama State @ LSU +19.1 149.7 89% 61–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.