Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -6000 BCU +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -21.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -22.0 (-17.0) | 145.3 (-24.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -17.8 (-12.8) | 144.4 (-23.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#107) | -6.6 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#148) | -0.39 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#142) | -0.58 (#210) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 21.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 13.5% |
| FT Rate | 43.9% | 8.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 69.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 57.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.7% | 9.5% |
Game Analysis
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