Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SF +105 BOIS -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +11 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -0.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -1.7 (+9.3) | 141.6 (+15.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -1.5 (+9.5) | 141.8 (+15.2) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2023 | BOIS 63 – 58 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#221) | 10.5 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#140) | 0.48 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#150) | 0.74 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#76) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 53.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 45.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 3.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 60.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 11.0% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 37.1% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 29.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 6.1% |
Game Analysis
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