Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -115 LIB -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -6.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.9 (-30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.0 (-4.0) | 149.8 (-19.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -0.6 (-2.6) | 149.1 (-19.1) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#164) | 6.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#250) | 1.06 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#253) | 1.59 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#188) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 54.2% |
| 3PT% | 54.5% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 2.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 62.7% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 9.1% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 65.3% | 36.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 8.5% | 11.6% |
| DRB% | 83.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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