Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -6000 ALST +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -24.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -23.1 (-10.1) | 150.1 (-15.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -19.1 (-6.1) | 149.7 (-14.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | LSU 74 – 56 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#39) | -3.6 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#150) | -1.10 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#135) | -1.75 (#307) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.1% | 64.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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