Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | LSU -2400 ALST +1150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -10.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -8.7 (+9.3) | 148.6 (-18.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -7.6 (+10.4) | 145.6 (-15.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -7.9 (+10.1) | 144.4 (-14.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -11.2 (+6.8) | 147.2 (-17.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | LSU 74 – 61 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#164) | -5.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#191) | 0.22 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#168) | 0.37 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#201) | 0.522 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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