Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -175 UCI +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +20 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -5.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -5.5 (-25.5) | 138.6 (+1.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -7.2 (-27.2) | 136.8 (+3.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2025 | UNI 70 – 69 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#123) | 9.2 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#131) | 1.78 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#116) | 2.62 (#19) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 60.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 71.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 14.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.9% | 39.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 87.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 6.7% |
Game Analysis
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