Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -1200 STMN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -0.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -4.0 (+5.0) | 149.2 (+1.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -2.6 (+6.4) | 149.7 (+1.3) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-4 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-0 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#234) | 9.9 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#156) | 1.72 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | 2.55 (#20) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 60.4% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 44.4% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 19.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 67.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 46.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 34.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 62.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 88.9% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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