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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 19.5
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
— | — | — | 69–80 | — |
|
|
+5.1 | 137.9 | 69% | 63–54 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.9 | 141.4 | 60% | 47–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.8 | 141.2 | 70% | 52–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.